SIDC URSIGRAM 30110 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 10 Jan 2003, 1210UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 10 Jan 2003 until 12 Jan 2003) SOLAR FLARES : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 189 / AP: 013 PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 195 / AP: 010 PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 200 / AP: 007 COMMENT: The solar wind velocity increased from 250 to 450 km/sec. Although the Bz component is decreasing, its value is still positive. No important perturbation of the geomagnetic field is then expected. However, there remains a slight possibilty of isolated active conditions in the next 24 h. SOLAR INDICES FOR 9 Jan 2003 SUNSPOT INDEX : 183 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 183 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 009 AK WINGST : 004 ESTIMATED AP : 004 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT