SIDC URSIGRAM 30111 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 11 Jan 2003, 1300UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 11 Jan 2003 until 13 Jan 2003) SOLAR FLARES : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 195 / AP: 012 PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 200 / AP: 006 PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 205 / AP: 004 COMMENT: A minor storm level(probably isolated)was detected at Wingst between 21 and 24 UT, apparently due to the effect of the recurrent coronal hole. The solar wind velocity is now slowly decreasing. SOLAR INDICES FOR 10 Jan 2003 SUNSPOT INDEX : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 185 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 023 AK WINGST : 015 ESTIMATED AP : 014 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT