SIDC URSIGRAM 30115 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 15 Jan 2003, 1300UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 15 Jan 2003 until 17 Jan 2003) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 160 / AP: 011 PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 155 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 150 / AP: 007 COMMENT: The solar wind remains stable at a speed of about 400km/s, with a mostly positive Bz. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 3 days. The solar activity remains at low levels, with a few C flares. No major event is expected for the next 3 days. SOLAR INDICES FOR 14 Jan 2003 SUNSPOT INDEX : 155 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 164 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 011 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT