SIDC URSIGRAM 30118 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 18 Jan 2003, 1250UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 18 Jan 2003 until 20 Jan 2003) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 133 / AP: 012 PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 125 / AP: 019 PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 118 / AP: 021 COMMENT: The solar activity was at very low levels and should remain low over the next 3 days. The solar wind speed slowly increased to 400km/s, while the magnetic Bz component has become mostly negative. The geomagnetic field is expected to become active within a day. Active or minor storm periods are possible later on under the influence of a high-speed solar wind stream. SOLAR INDICES FOR 17 Jan 2003 SUNSPOT INDEX : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 142 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 011 AK WINGST : 007 ESTIMATED AP : 006 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT