SIDC URSIGRAM 30122 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 22 Jan 2003, 1230UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 22 Jan 2003 until 24 Jan 2003) SOLAR FLARES : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Minor geomagnetic storm expected (A>=30 or K=5) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 131 / AP: 024 PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 129 / AP: 018 PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 127 / AP: 021 COMMENT: The Earth is still inside the fast flow from a coronal hole, so weak geomagnetic disturbances are expected during next two days. The north - south interplanetary magnetic field component is now predominantly negative. SOLAR INDICES FOR 21 Jan 2003 SUNSPOT INDEX : 146 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 134 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 030 AK WINGST : 021 ESTIMATED AP : 021 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE 21 1459 1526 1552 S07E90 M1.9 380 30 0269 EIT derived location 22 0435 0444 0450 N15W05 M1.2 1F 20 0260 END BT