SIDC URSIGRAM 30201 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 01 Feb 2003, 1400UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 01 Feb 2003 until 03 Feb 2003) SOLAR FLARES : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Feb 2003 10CM FLUX: 120 / AP: 017 PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Feb 2003 10CM FLUX: 123 / AP: 024 PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Feb 2003 10CM FLUX: 126 / AP: 022 SOLAR INDICES FOR 31 Jan 2003 SUNSPOT INDEX : 109 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 120 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 024 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 016 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE 1 0900 0910 0930 M1 Preliminary report END BT