SIDC URSIGRAM 30203 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 03 Feb 2003, 1208UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 03 Feb 2003 until 05 Feb 2003) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Feb 2003 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 021 PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Feb 2003 10CM FLUX: 132 / AP: 012 PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Feb 2003 10CM FLUX: 134 / AP: 024 COMMENT: High levels of geomagnetic activity were observed at Wingst on Feb 1 and also Feb 2, likely due to the combined effects of a coronal hole and a shock arrival. The field is expected to stay at unsettled to active levels. SOLAR INDICES FOR 2 Feb 2003 SUNSPOT INDEX : 072 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 127 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 080 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 050 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT