SIDC URSIGRAM 30109 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 09 Jan 2003, 1434UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 09 Jan 2003 until 11 Jan 2003) SOLAR FLARES : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 182 / AP: 011 PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 189 / AP: 019 PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Jan 2003 10CM FLUX: 197 / AP: 012 COMMENT: A recurrent coronal hole may create geomagnetic active conditions SOLAR INDICES FOR 8 Jan 2003 SUNSPOT INDEX : 191 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 174 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 007 AK WINGST : 004 ESTIMATED AP : 004 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE 09 0127 0139 0203 S07W24 C9.8 1F III/1 02 0242 09 0532 0537 0544 S14E64 M1.0 1N 13 0251 END BT