SIDC URSIGRAM 40418 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 18 Apr 2004, 1230UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 18 Apr 2004 until 20 Apr 2004) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Apr 2004 10CM FLUX: 099 / AP: 014 PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Apr 2004 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 008 PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Apr 2004 10CM FLUX: 101 / AP: 007 COMMENT: Solar activity was on background level (< B2) past UT day. The C1.2 flare of yesterday probably came from the new sunspot group catania 08. For the next UT day we expect quiet conditions with a possibility for C or small M flares. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions for the next days. SOLAR INDICES FOR 17 Apr 2004 SUNSPOT INDEX : 083 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 098 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 011 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 009 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT