:Issued: 2004 Aug 06 1239 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 40806
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 06 Aug 2004, 1215UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 06 Aug 2004 until 08 Aug 2004)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Aug 2004  10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Aug 2004  10CM FLUX: 096 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Aug 2004  10CM FLUX: 102 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity has remained very low during the past 24 hours. The
magnetic structure of Catania sunspot group 87 (NOAA 0655) continues to simplify,
so no more flares are expected from that group. Attention may shift towards a
new kid on the block: at the east limb, Catania 90 is showing up, a return of
Catania sunspot group 78 (NOAA region 0649), which produced several X-flares on
its previous rotation. So far, however, EIT images indicate that this group has
become far less active, so we expect quiet conditions to continue for now.
Within a few days, we should see the return of groups 82 and 83 (NOAA 0652 and
0653). MDI far-side images indicate both these regions still have high magnetic
flux concentrations.
The solar wind speed increased a bit to 360 km/s, but the IMF remains mainly
northwards and geomagnetic conditions are expected to stay quiet.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 5 Aug 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 054
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 089
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 010
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 006

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC   XRAY OP 10CM     TYPE          Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                          #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                                 #
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