SIDC URSIGRAM 40124
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 24 Jan 2004, 1230UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 24 Jan 2004 until 26 Jan 2004)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Jan 2004  10CM FLUX: 105 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Jan 2004  10CM FLUX: 095 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Jan 2004  10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 011
COMMENT: There was no significant solar activity past UT day. Background X-ray
emission is on B1 level. Solar wind parameters remained elevated during most of
the UT day, leading to minor storm conditions (NOAA Kp=5). ACE data shows
possible evidence of the arrival of the CME related to the second filament
eruption, at about 05:30 UT 24/1. For the rest of the day we expect quiet to
active conditions. There is a small equatorial coronal hole passing through a
geoeffective position which could have little influence today. For the next two
days we expect quiet conditions. A large coronal hole, which now covers the
central meridian, could become geoeffective on 27/1.



SOLAR INDICES FOR 23 Jan 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 059
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 115
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 064
AK WINGST           : 041
ESTIMATED AP        : 044

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC   XRAY OP 10CM     TYPE          Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT