:Issued: 2004 Sep 05 1422 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 40905 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Sep 2004, 1411UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Sep 2004 until 07 Sep 2004) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Sep 2004 10CM FLUX: 102 / AP: 015 PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Sep 2004 10CM FLUX: 105 / AP: 022 PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Sep 2004 10CM FLUX: 108 / AP: 022 COMMENT: Flaring activity is low, the Xray background as measured by GOES is just below the B1 level. The interplanetairy magnetic field is now 10 nT. The strength has been growing since this morning. The B_z component had reached values between -7nT and +7nT. Solar wind speed is low: 300 km/s but shows an increasing tendency. The density on his turn has increased according to ACE and CELIAS/SOHO. This indicates that we will possibly come under the influence of a coronal hole windstream. SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Sep 2004 SUNSPOT INDEX : 027 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 099 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 004 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 002 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.oma.be. Please do not reply directly # # to this message, but send comments and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. # # If you are unable to use that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------#