SIDC URSIGRAM 40127
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 27 Jan 2004, 1230UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 27 Jan 2004 until 29 Jan 2004)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Jan 2004  10CM FLUX: 095 / AP: 024
PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Jan 2004  10CM FLUX: 104 / AP: 031
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Jan 2004  10CM FLUX: 106 / AP: 022
COMMENT: The solar wind speed shows a slowly increasing trend, indicating that
the expected influence of the small equatorial coronal hole has started. So far,
the north-south component of the IMF remains small and of variable orientation.
We expect active conditions (K=4) for the next 36 hours, occasionally reaching
K=5. Thereafter, geomagnetic conditions will return to quiet levels.
Solar activity is and will remain very low. The X-ray background is at a low
B-level and decreasing. The visible solar disk is totally void of magnetic field
concentrations of any significance.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 26 Jan 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 024
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 098
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 037
AK WINGST           : 020
ESTIMATED AP        : 022

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC   XRAY OP 10CM     TYPE          Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT