:Issued: 2004 Oct 05 1244 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 41005 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Oct 2004, 1231UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Oct 2004 until 07 Oct 2004) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Oct 2004 10CM FLUX: 093 / AP: 006 PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Oct 2004 10CM FLUX: 095 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Oct 2004 10CM FLUX: 097 / AP: 001 COMMENT: Solar activity increased with the re-appearence of old active region NOAA 0672. Yesterday 4/10 it produced a C2.6 flare at 13:25 UT and today a C1.4 flare at 00:56 UT. We thus expect more flaring activity from this region. Geomagnetic conditions turned quiet again and are expected to remain so the following days. (Info: EIT resumed (after CCD bakeout) on 2004/10/04 @ ~00:00 UT) SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Oct 2004 SUNSPOT INDEX : 042 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 091 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 023 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 014 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.oma.be. Please do not reply directly # # to this message, but send comments and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. # # If you are unable to use that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------#