SIDC URSIGRAM 40203 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 03 Feb 2004, 1230UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 03 Feb 2004 until 05 Feb 2004) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Feb 2004 10CM FLUX: 107 / AP: 019 PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Feb 2004 10CM FLUX: 112 / AP: 017 PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Feb 2004 10CM FLUX: 117 / AP: 011 COMMENT: Earth is now inside the fast flow from the near-equatorial coronal hole, so some weak geomagnetic disturbances are possible. SOLAR INDICES FOR 2 Feb 2004 SUNSPOT INDEX : 100 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 102 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 029 AK WINGST : 021 ESTIMATED AP : 025 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT