:Issued: 2004 Dec 14 1247 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 41214 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 14 Dec 2004, 1235UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 14 Dec 2004 until 16 Dec 2004) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Dec 2004 10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Dec 2004 10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 011 PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Dec 2004 10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 026 COMMENT: We expect a continuation of the quiet space weather conditions for another 2 days. After that, we expect the influence of the coronal hole in the northern hemisphere to boost the solar wind and thus the geomagnetic activity. Flaring activity is, obviously, expected to remain low as long as no significant active regions are present on the disc. END: Submit forecast SOLAR INDICES FOR 13 Dec 2004 SUNSPOT INDEX : 036 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 090 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 016 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 012 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.oma.be. Please do not reply directly # # to this message, but send comments and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. # # If you are unable to use that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------#