SIDC URSIGRAM 40205 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Feb 2004, 1245UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Feb 2004 until 07 Feb 2004) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Feb 2004 10CM FLUX: 106 / AP: 018 PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Feb 2004 10CM FLUX: 111 / AP: 011 PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Feb 2004 10CM FLUX: 117 / AP: 013 COMMENT: Some fluctuations of the north - south interplanetary magnetic field component Bz may produce sporadic increases of Kp up to 4. SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Feb 2004 SUNSPOT INDEX : 109 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 101 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 017 AK WINGST : 021 ESTIMATED AP : 017 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT