SIDC URSIGRAM 40228
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 28 Feb 2004, 1400UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 28 Feb 2004 until 01 Mar 2004)
SOLAR FLARES  : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Warning condition
PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Feb 2004  10CM FLUX: 125 / AP: 031
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Feb 2004  10CM FLUX: 125 / AP: 031
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Mar 2004  10CM FLUX: 122 / AP: 017
COMMENT: The solar wind speed is increasingly steadily since early morning Feb
27 and is now at 500 km/s. Meanwhile, the Bz-component of the interplanetary
magnetic field makes intermittent but strong southward excursions up till -15
nT. These excursions push the K-index up till a level of K=5. Continued
disturbed geomagnetic conditions are expected for the days ahead due to the
influence of a coronal hole.


SOLAR INDICES FOR 27 Feb 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 106
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 122
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 025
AK WINGST           : 018
ESTIMATED AP        : 018

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC   XRAY OP 10CM     TYPE          Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT