SIDC URSIGRAM 40309 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 09 Mar 2004, 1230UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 09 Mar 2004 until 11 Mar 2004) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Mar 2004 10CM FLUX: 108 / AP: 012 PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Mar 2004 10CM FLUX: 108 / AP: 015 PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Mar 2004 10CM FLUX: 108 / AP: 032 COMMENT: Today, peaks in x-ray data of Goes reached the lower C-level. Sunspot group 75 (NOAA 0570) is the main source of this activity. The solar wind speed started to increase from 350 to 450 km/s. The recursive large coronal hole started to push the velocity to higher levels. From Feb 10 on, we expect active to minor storm geomagnetic conditions. SOLAR INDICES FOR 8 Mar 2004 SUNSPOT INDEX : 054 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 108 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 008 AK WINGST : 003 ESTIMATED AP : 004 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT