SIDC URSIGRAM 40319
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 19 Mar 2004, 1230UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 19 Mar 2004 until 21 Mar 2004)
SOLAR FLARES  : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Mar 2004  10CM FLUX: 120 / AP: 022
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Mar 2004  10CM FLUX: 122 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Mar 2004  10CM FLUX: 122 / AP: 021
COMMENT: Solar wind speed is 360 km/s. B_z is mainly positive and smaller than
5 nT. We are still experiencing quiet geomagnetic conditions. Sunspot group 87
(NOAA 0578) has produced late Feb 18 an M1.5 flare. No companying CME was
recorded. On Feb 17, a CME left the Sun from the north-west side. This CME is
very unlikely to have any impact on earth.



SOLAR INDICES FOR 18 Mar 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 104
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 115
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 024
AK WINGST           : 014
ESTIMATED AP        : 014

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC   XRAY OP 10CM     TYPE          Catania NOAA NOTE
18  2226 2236 2240 N16E78 M1.5 1F                                 0578                     
END
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