:Issued: 2005 Apr 19 1218 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 50419 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 19 Apr 2005, 1211UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 19 Apr 2005 until 21 Apr 2005) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Apr 2005 10CM FLUX: 080 / AP: 011 PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Apr 2005 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 022 PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Apr 2005 10CM FLUX: 078 / AP: 016 COMMENT: Active geomagnetic conditions are possible from late this evening since the small southern coronal hole is approaching a geoeffective position. Flaring activity is low, the background X-radiation is in the A-level. Sunspot group 52 is a possible candidate for producing C-flares, but we expect mainly B-flares to happen. SOLAR INDICES FOR 18 Apr 2005 SUNSPOT INDEX : 043 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 081 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 013 AK WINGST : 008 ESTIMATED AP : 009 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.oma.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#