:Issued: 2005 Jun 18 1149 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 50618
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 18 Jun 2005, 1138UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 18 Jun 2005 until 20 Jun 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Jun 2005  10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Jun 2005  10CM FLUX: 094 / AP: 031
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Jun 2005  10CM FLUX: 096 / AP: 008
COMMENT: The proton event associated with the long duration M4.0 flare
of June 16 is over, since the >=10 MeV curve went under the threshold
yesterday, June 17 around 17:00UT. We expect the CME associated with
this event to induce active conditions, possibly from late June 18,
early Jun 19 onwards. A new group at the eastlimb with Catania number 85
(NOAA 0780) induced new activity: it produced already flares reaching
the C-level.



SOLAR INDICES FOR 17 Jun 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 075
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 091
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 022
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 016

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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