:Issued: 2005 Jul 08 1220 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 50708 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 08 Jul 2005, 1150UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 08 Jul 2005 until 10 Jul 2005) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Jul 2005 10CM FLUX: 125 / AP: 010 PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jul 2005 10CM FLUX: 124 / AP: 022 PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jul 2005 10CM FLUX: 123 / AP: 015 COMMENT: The weekend may see the arrival of one or more of four significant CMEs observed between July 5-7. None were directed straight at earth but could brush by the magnetospehere. Probably the most likely to do so was associated with the M4.9 flare on July 7th around 16UT SOLAR INDICES FOR 7 Jul 2005 SUNSPOT INDEX : 123 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 125 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 014 AK WINGST : 010 ESTIMATED AP : 009 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE 07 1607 1629 1640 N09E03 M4.9 SN 180 96 0786 ETI-derived position. Fairly fast wide LASCO CME END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.oma.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#