:Issued: 2005 Aug 17 1247 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 50817 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 17 Aug 2005, 1230UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 17 Aug 2005 until 19 Aug 2005) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Aug 2005 10CM FLUX: 077 / AP: 014 PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Aug 2005 10CM FLUX: 078 / AP: 009 PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Aug 2005 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 007 COMMENT: Solar activity is very quiet. The only noteworthy sunspot group is Catania #22 (NOAA 0797) which has a beta-gamma magnetic configuration, no major flares are expected. The influence of the coronal hole is still visible in recordings of the solar wind speed, elevated at about 650 km/s. The magnetic field strength of the solar wind at 1 AU diminished to about 5 nT now and is predominantly northward oriented. After 2 periods of active conditions, most stations now report quiet geomagnetic conditions. We expect quiet conditions for the next days. SOLAR INDICES FOR 16 Aug 2005 SUNSPOT INDEX : 048 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 076 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 023 AK WINGST : 020 ESTIMATED AP : 018 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.oma.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#