:Issued: 2005 Sep 16 1234 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 50916 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 16 Sep 2005, 1224UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 16 Sep 2005 until 18 Sep 2005) SOLAR FLARES : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Sep 2005 10CM FLUX: 117 / AP: 016 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Sep 2005 10CM FLUX: 117 / AP: 016 PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Sep 2005 10CM FLUX: 117 / AP: 017 COMMENT: We are in the decaying phase of the geomagnetic storm induced by the arrival of a shock possibly related with the CME associated with the triple X-flare of end Sept 13. Further, everything is quiet. SOLAR INDICES FOR 15 Sep 2005 SUNSPOT INDEX : 053 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 119 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 053 AK WINGST : 042 ESTIMATED AP : 043 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE 13 1919 1927 2057 S09E10 X1.5 2B 6000 V/2,III/2 0808 13 2315 2322 2330 S10E03 X1.7 1B 180 37 0808 15 0830 0838 0846 S12W14 X1.1 2N 450 37 0808 15 1855 1910 1926 S11W19 M1.0 SF 190 37 0808 END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.oma.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#