:Issued: 2005 Jan 27 1258 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 50127 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 27 Jan 2005, 1240UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 27 Jan 2005 until 29 Jan 2005) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 006 PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 011 PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 016 COMMENT: Only a single B7 subflare was observed over the last 24h. The solar activity is still very low and is pexpected to remain so in the next 3 days. The geomagnetic field has been extremely quiet (Kp below 2, even at high latitude) in the past 24 hours. This reflects the slow (320 km/s) and weakly magnetized (<5nT) solar wind. Those conditions are expected to last for one more day. Then, in the second half of Jan.28 or on Jan.29, the fast wind from a low-latitude coronal hole, probably preceded by a corotating interaction region, will start to influence the Earth magnetosphere. Thus, the geomagnetic field may then become unsettled to active, with occasional short minor storms, for 2 or 3 days. SOLAR INDICES FOR 26 Jan 2005 SUNSPOT INDEX : 040 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 089 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 004 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.oma.be. Please do not reply directly # # to this message, but send comments and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. # # If you are unable to use that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------#