:Issued: 2005 Oct 06 1154 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 51006
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 06 Oct 2005, 1118UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 06 Oct 2005 until 08 Oct 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Oct 2005  10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Oct 2005  10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 018
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Oct 2005  10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 053
COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet fir the
next 24hrs. A recurrent coronal hole is presently moving into a
potentially geoeffective position and the associated fast stream can be
expected to raise activity levels to active or minor storm levels from
early on Saturday. Solar activity is expected to remain low. Both the
background X-ray and 10.7cm radio flux dropped since yesterday, although
NOAA AR 0813 (Catania 48) has increased in complexity, area and number
of spots. C-class event possible with a small chance of an isolated
M-class event. Old NOAA AR 0808 appears to have lost most of its former
complexity and has no visible sunspots.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 5 Oct 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 034
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 081
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 009
AK WINGST           : 004
ESTIMATED AP        : 003

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #
# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224                                           #
# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #
#                                                                    #
# For more information, see http://sidc.oma.be.  Please do not reply #
# directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to     #
# 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use      #
# 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead.                                   #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#