:Issued: 2005 Nov 05 1245 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 51105
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Nov 2005, 1205UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Nov 2005 until 07 Nov 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Nov 2005  10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 016
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Nov 2005  10CM FLUX: 078 / AP: 016
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Nov 2005  10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 013
COMMENT: Two sunspot groups (Catania numbers 58 and 59) have rather
simple magnetic configurations. However, a long filament is situated in
the Catania sunspot group 59. In the case of eruption the corresponding
CME might not encounter the Earth because the filament is situated
relatively far from the central meridian. A CME-driven shock, however,
may arrive producing disturbed geomagnetic conditions. The Earth is now
inside the fast wind stream from a coronal hole. We expect the active
geomagnetic conditions at most as the IMF is weak and Bz is positive on
average.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Nov 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 036
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 077
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 029
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 026

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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