:Issued: 2005 Nov 15 1421 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 51115
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 15 Nov 2005, 1222UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 15 Nov 2005 until 17 Nov 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Nov 2005  10CM FLUX: 096 / AP: 009
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Nov 2005  10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Nov 2005  10CM FLUX: 103 / AP: 010
COMMENT: Active region Catania#65 (NOAA0822) produced 2 additional M
flares. It is now classified as a complex beta-gamma magnetic
configuration. Therefore, it can produce more C and M flares over the
next few days. Those events might become more geoeffective as the region
is rotating towards the central meridian of the Sun. The solar wind
remains slow and weakly magnetized. The geomagnetic field is thus quiet
to unsettled, and it should remain so at least for the rest of the 3-day
period.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 14 Nov 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 034
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 092
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : ///
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 014

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
14  1416  1421 1423 S06E60 M3.9       90 II/1                       65 0822                     
14  2153  2200 2204 S06E52 M1.0 SF    64                            65 0822                     
END
BT
 
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