:Issued: 2005 Dec 15 1253 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 51215 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 15 Dec 2005, 1237UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 15 Dec 2005 until 17 Dec 2005) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Dec 2005 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 005 PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Dec 2005 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 009 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Dec 2005 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 009 COMMENT: We expect low flaring activity. Some isolated C-flares are possible. The type II outburst of Dec 13 is not expected to arrive at earth. CACTus estimated the speed of the CME to be only 222 km/s which is even smaller then the solar wind speed. SOLAR INDICES FOR 14 Dec 2005 SUNSPOT INDEX : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 090 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 006 AK WINGST : 003 ESTIMATED AP : 002 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://www.sidc.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#