:Issued: 2005 Dec 31 1310 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 51231 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 31 Dec 2005, 1253UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 31 Dec 2005 until 02 Jan 2006) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Dec 2005 10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 010 PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Jan 2006 10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Jan 2006 10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 017 COMMENT: The solar activity remains very low, and the small sunspot groups currently present on the solar disc can only produce occasional C flares. The solar wind speed has decayed furher down to 500km/s and the geomagnetic activity is expected to settled down to quiet levels over at least the next 2 days. Given its slow speed, the CME of Dec.29 could at most induce temporary active conditions on day 3 (Jan.2). TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 038, BASED ON 01 STATION. SOLAR INDICES FOR 30 Dec 2005 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 071 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 090 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 018 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 010 ESTIMATED ISN : 040, BASED ON 03 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#