SIDC URSIGRAM 50107
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 07 Jan 2005, 1154UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 07 Jan 2005 until 09 Jan 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 014
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 008
COMMENT: Solar activity remains very quiet. The only sunspot group currently
visible is the decaying remnant of Catania 98. EIT images show a new group
appering at the the east limb, but the activity seems to be small. We therefore
expect quiet conditions on the sun.
Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet. The solar wind speed is 500km/s but
shows an increasing trend. Also the IMF field is increasing. This may mark the
arrival of ICME material (no shocks have been observed from the various halo
CMEs from Catania 98). A large prominence erupted from the eastern hemisphere on
Jan 05 and generated a halo CME with a speed range 500-1000km/s. This may impact
the earth tomorrow.



SOLAR INDICES FOR 6 Jan 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 027
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 083
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : ///
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 003

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT