:Issued: 2005 Apr 09 1231 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 50409 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 09 Apr 2005, 1217UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 09 Apr 2005 until 11 Apr 2005) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Minor geomagnetic storm expected (A>=30 or K=5) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Apr 2005 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 005 PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Apr 2005 10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 008 PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Apr 2005 10CM FLUX: 085 / AP: 026 COMMENT: Newly emerged NOAA AR 0751, Catania sunspot group 52, is growing very rapidly. We do not exclude the possibility of a C-flare from this active region. The Earth is still inside the slow solar wind flow, and the geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet. However, a large low-latitude coronal hole is visible in the northern hemisphere. We expect the fast flow produced by this coronal hole to arrive around April 11. Disturbed geomagnetic conditions up to the minor storm level (Kp = 5) are possible. SOLAR INDICES FOR 8 Apr 2005 SUNSPOT INDEX : 053 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 088 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 008 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 005 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.oma.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#