:Issued: 2006 Apr 29 1231 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 60429 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 29 Apr 2006, 1221UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 29 Apr 2006 until 01 May 2006) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Apr 2006 10CM FLUX: 101 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Apr 2006 10CM FLUX: 103 / AP: 008 PREDICTIONS FOR 01 May 2006 10CM FLUX: 105 / AP: 006 COMMENT: Catania sunspot group 31 (NOAA AR 0875) keeps its beta-gamma configuration of the photospheric magnetic field. We expect C-flares from this group, with a possibility for an isolated M-flare. The Earth is currently inside the slow solar wind flow. Interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is close to average (5 nT). We thus expect quiet geomagnetic conditions. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 031, BASED ON 03 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 28 Apr 2006 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 068 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 100 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 019 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 017 ESTIMATED ISN : 046, BASED ON 08 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#