:Issued: 2006 Jan 13 1454 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 60113
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 13 Jan 2006, 1448UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 13 Jan 2006 until 15 Jan 2006)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Jan 2006  10CM FLUX: 076 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Jan 2006  10CM FLUX: 076 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Jan 2006  10CM FLUX: 078 / AP: 013
COMMENT: The all quiet alert has been ended. The small transequatorial
coronal hole is now situated near the central meridian and is expected
to send a high speed solar wind stream towards the earth, arriving here
in 2 days. A CME has also been observed this night (first appearance in
c2 @ 01:54), the estimated speed is around 500 km/s. It is mostly
directed westward, but it probably originated from the \'sigmoid\' just
SW of the coronal hole, thus it might have an earth-directed component.
Goes-12 X-ray data, reports a LDE A7.1 flare. We thus expect unsetteled
to active conditions on 15-17 January.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 000, BASED ON 02 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 12 Jan 2006
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 023
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 077
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 007
AK WINGST              : ///
ESTIMATED AP           : 004
ESTIMATED ISN          : 009, BASED ON 02 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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