:Issued: 2006 Jun 28 1251 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 60628 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 28 Jun 2006, 1237UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 28 Jun 2006 until 30 Jun 2006) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Jun 2006 10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 013 PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Jun 2006 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Jun 2006 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 004 COMMENT: NOAA active region 0897 (=Catania sunspot group 59) has developed a beta-gamma configuration and is expected to produce C-flares. A chance (<20%) for an isolated M-flare also exists. A second active region (Cat sunspot group 60) has just crossed the solar East limb and is also showing flaring activity. The solar wind has increased up till -but stabilised at- 450 km/s. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 027, BASED ON 07 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 27 Jun 2006 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 026 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 079 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 011 AK WINGST : 008 ESTIMATED AP : 007 ESTIMATED ISN : 014, BASED ON 09 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#