:Issued: 2006 Jan 19 1236 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 60119 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 19 Jan 2006, 1204UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 19 Jan 2006 until 21 Jan 2006) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Jan 2006 10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 004 PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Jan 2006 10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 006 PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Jan 2006 10CM FLUX: 093 / AP: 016 COMMENT: NOAA AR 0847, Catania sunspot group 98, is decaying, although it gave a B3.9 flare this morning. On the contrary, NOAA AR 0848 (Catania number 99) is growing and may produce a C-flare. The interplanetary conditions are not expected to produce any significant geomagnetic disturbance. The Earth is currently inside the slow solar wind flow. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 023, BASED ON 02 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 18 Jan 2006 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 047 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 086 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 016 AK WINGST : 012 ESTIMATED AP : 011 ESTIMATED ISN : 032, BASED ON 03 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#