:Issued: 2006 Jan 02 1330 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 60102
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 02 Jan 2006, 1313UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 02 Jan 2006 until 04 Jan 2006)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Jan 2006  10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 013
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Jan 2006  10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Jan 2006  10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 012
COMMENT: The CME due to the partial filament eruption seems to have
arrived during the latter part of yesterday, though the geomagnetic
reponse was small due to a predominantly southward IMF. The solar wind
speed is steady around 450km/s with a small and mainly northward Bz.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet, with slight
potential for short term active periods due to over-expansion of a fast
stream from a small coronal hole to the SW of disk centre. Solar
conditions are expected to remain quiet. Old NOAA AR 0838 (Catania 86)
yielded a C1.5 flare before rotating over the W limb, while of the
current on-disk regions AR 0841 (Catania 89) holds the greatest
potential for an isolated C-class flare.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 022, BASED ON 02 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 1 Jan 2006
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 087
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 010
AK WINGST              : 008
ESTIMATED AP           : 006
ESTIMATED ISN          : 024, BASED ON 02 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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