:Issued: 2006 Oct 16 1248 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 61016 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 16 Oct 2006, 1240UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 16 Oct 2006 until 18 Oct 2006) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Oct 2006 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 006 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Oct 2006 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 005 PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Oct 2006 10CM FLUX: 072 / AP: 004 COMMENT: Very low solar activity is expected, with no sunspot currently on the solar disc. The solar wind speed has further decayed to 450km/s. The influence of the high-speed stream has ceased and no significant CME occured over the last few days. The geomagnetic field is thus expected to stay quiet over the next 3 days. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 06 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 15 Oct 2006 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 071 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 016 AK WINGST : 015 ESTIMATED AP : 014 ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 13 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#