:Issued: 2006 Nov 05 1221 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 61105 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Nov 2006, 1215UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Nov 2006 until 07 Nov 2006) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Nov 2006 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 006 PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Nov 2006 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 006 PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Nov 2006 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 005 COMMENT: A C1.3 flare erupted this morning from NOAA 0921 (Cat 93) at 07:12 UT. We expect quiet solar conditions with a possibility for C-flares. Geomagnetic conditions remain quiet. A recurrent coronal hole is visible in the eastern hemisphere, SE of the active regions. We expect its influence at Earth by the end of next week. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 033, BASED ON 03 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Nov 2006 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 086 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 016 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 009 ESTIMATED ISN : 038, BASED ON 06 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#