:Issued: 2006 Dec 31 1249 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 61231 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 31 Dec 2006, 1241UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 31 Dec 2006 until 02 Jan 2007) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Dec 2006 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 001 PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 022 COMMENT: Flaring activity has increased slightly due to the returning region NOAA 0933, former NOAA AR 0930 responsible for the extreme flares last rotation. C-flaring activity is possible with a small chance for an isolated M-flare. At the moment, we don't have yet a clear view on the e the geomagnetic structure of the group. Geomagnetic conditions are still very quiet. We expect disturbances from late tomorrow Jan 01/Jan 02, 2007 due to a southern recurent coronal hole. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 016, BASED ON 03 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 30 Dec 2006 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 011 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 080 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 005 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 002 ESTIMATED ISN : 008, BASED ON 05 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#