:Issued: 2006 Jan 04 1315 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 60104
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 04 Jan 2006, 1236UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 04 Jan 2006 until 06 Jan 2006)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Jan 2006  10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Jan 2006  10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Jan 2006  10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 016
COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet. During
the previous rotation a fast stream was encountered on Dec 10th which
led to sporadic minor storm conditions Dec 11th; the stream would be
expected to return around Jan 6th. Whilst it is hard to identify a
likely source the same was true on earlier rotations so we tentatively
forecast sporadic active conditions towards the end of the week.
Solar activity is expected to remain low to very low with NOAA AR 0841
(Catania 89) holding the greatest, albeit small, potential for an
isolated event. Old NOAA AR 0834 is due to rotate over the E limb before
the end of the week which may increase the background X-ray and 10.7cm
radio fluxes, though it was declining during its previous transit.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 016, BASED ON 01 STATION.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 3 Jan 2006
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 085
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 008
AK WINGST              : 003
ESTIMATED AP           : 003
ESTIMATED ISN          : 024, BASED ON 02 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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