:Issued: 2006 Jan 05 1205 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 60105
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Jan 2006, 1150UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Jan 2006 until 07 Jan 2006)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Jan 2006  10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Jan 2006  10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 016
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Jan 2006  10CM FLUX: 081 / AP: 016
COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet. A
recurrent fast stream, whose likely source remains hard to identify, may
be encountered from Jan 6 with the potential to lead to brief active
periods. A CME associated with the flare from this morning was
relatively narrow and does not appear to have a significant
earth-directed component
Solar activity is expected to remain low. NOAA AR 0843 (Catania 90)
yielded a C4.4 flare this morning and retains the potential for another
isolated C-class event before rotating over the W limb over the coming
weekend.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 014, BASED ON 02 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Jan 2006
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 026
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 084
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 004
AK WINGST              : 002
ESTIMATED AP           : 001
ESTIMATED ISN          : 015, BASED ON 03 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #
# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224                                           #
# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #
#                                                                    #
# For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu.             #
# Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments    #
# directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to     #
# 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use      #
# 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead.                                   #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#