:Issued: 2006 Jan 06 1206 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 60106 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 06 Jan 2006, 1157UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 06 Jan 2006 until 08 Jan 2006) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Jan 2006 10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 008 PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Jan 2006 10CM FLUX: 081 / AP: 018 PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Jan 2006 10CM FLUX: 080 / AP: 012 COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled. The IMF has roughly doubled its intensity over the past 24hrs indicating that we may possibly soon enter a recurrent fast stream, though other parameters are yet to show any signatures. Solar activity is expected to remain low to very low, though NOAA AR 0843 (Catania 90) holds slight potential for an isolated flare before rotating over the W limb this weekend. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 017, BASED ON 02 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 5 Jan 2006 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 023 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 083 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 006 AK WINGST : 004 ESTIMATED AP : 003 ESTIMATED ISN : 014, BASED ON 03 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#