:Issued: 2007 Jan 01 1103 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 70101
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 01 Jan 2007, 1100UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 01 Jan 2007 until 03 Jan 2007)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Minor geomagnetic storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Jan 2007  10CM FLUX: 085 / AP: 013
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Jan 2007  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 040
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Jan 2007  10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 026
COMMENT: It is now precisely one solar rotation ago when NOAA AR 930
started its X-flaring firework. The region has returned on the East limb
(as AR 933) but is now only flaring occassionally at the C-class level.
We expect that it will continue doing so in the comin days. Meanwhile we
expect this afternoonthe influence of a recurrent coronal hole. In the
previous solar rotations this hole pushed the solar wind speed up to
600km/s and lead to Kp~5 disturbances in the geomagnetic activity.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : ///

SOLAR INDICES FOR 31 Dec 2006
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 083
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 004
AK WINGST              : ///
ESTIMATED AP           : 002
ESTIMATED ISN          : 017, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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