:Issued: 2007 Jan 16 1253 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 70116
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 16 Jan 2007, 1240UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 16 Jan 2007 until 18 Jan 2007)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Jan 2007  10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Jan 2007  10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 019
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Jan 2007  10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 011
COMMENT: Low solar activity is forecasted, with only a few isolated C
flares. The coronal hole influence continues and keeps the solar wind
speed at about 600km/s. This already caused a couple of active to minor
storm geomagnetic events over the last 24 hours, in connection with
Southward rotations of the interplanetary magnetic field. As the wind
density and magnetic field have strongly declined by now, the fast
stream will probably keep the geomagnetic field unsettled to active for
the coming 2 or 3 days, but without causing additional storms

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 014, BASED ON 06 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 15 Jan 2007
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 043
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 082
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 030
AK WINGST              : 019
ESTIMATED AP           : 021
ESTIMATED ISN          : 013, BASED ON 17 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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