:Issued: 2007 Jul 18 1309 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 70718 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 18 Jul 2007, 1259UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 18 Jul 2007 until 20 Jul 2007) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Jul 2007 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Jul 2007 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 010 PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Jul 2007 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 011 COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet for the remainder of the day then rise to unsettled and potentially active levels following the anticipated arrival of a fast stream from the recurrent coronal hole currently visible on the SW of the solar disk. The signatures of this hole are not yet discernible in solar wind data, as the speed continues to drop (currently ~340km/s) and the IMF remains weak and calm. Solar activity is expected to remain very low with a slim chance of an isolated C-class flare from NOAA AR 0963 (Catania 49). TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 009, BASED ON 06 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 17 Jul 2007 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 020 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 072 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 006 AK WINGST : 004 ESTIMATED AP : 002 ESTIMATED ISN : 011, BASED ON 14 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#