:Issued: 2007 Jan 21 1326 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 70121 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 21 Jan 2007, 1318UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 21 Jan 2007 until 23 Jan 2007) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 010 PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 004 COMMENT: Although a small isolated C flare may occur, the solar acitvity is expected to remain low. The solar wind speed is now declining and will soon decrease below 500km/s. We thus predict mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions for the rest of the 3-day period. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 013, BASED ON 06 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 20 Jan 2007 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 035 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 079 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 017 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 011 ESTIMATED ISN : 018, BASED ON 06 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#