:Issued: 2007 Jan 22 1227 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 70122 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 22 Jan 2007, 1218UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 22 Jan 2007 until 24 Jan 2007) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 078 / AP: 002 PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 077 / AP: 002 PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 003 COMMENT: NOAA AR 0939, Catania sunspot group 16, has produced a C2.3 flare peaking at 13:11 UT yesterday. More C-flares are possible from this active region. The Earth is currently inside the slow solar wind flow. The solar wind speed is around 450 km/s, the interplanetary magnetic field is around 4 nT. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 013, BASED ON 04 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 21 Jan 2007 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 079 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 014 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 010 ESTIMATED ISN : 011, BASED ON 08 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#