:Issued: 2007 Jan 23 1230 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 70123 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 23 Jan 2007, 1212UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 23 Jan 2007 until 25 Jan 2007) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 078 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 077 / AP: 002 PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 003 COMMENT: NOAA AR 0939 (Catania number 16) has grown slightly and still keeps a potential to produce an isolated C-flare. The Earth is currently inside a slow solar wind flow. The low values of the solar wind speed (around 420 km/s) and average values of the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude (4 nT) indicate that the geomagnetic conditions will remain quiet. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 016, BASED ON 02 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 22 Jan 2007 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 021 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 079 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 007 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 004 ESTIMATED ISN : 013, BASED ON 08 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#